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OpenAI revenue is reportedly $50B, not $70B: what changed

A new report puts OpenAI revenue near a $50B yearly pace, not $70B. Gross vs net revenue explained simply, why AI stocks fell and what it means for the IPO.

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The glass office building at 1515 Third Street in San Francisco's Mission Bay, home to OpenAI's headquarters in 2025
Photo: Coolcaesar / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 4.0

OpenAI revenue is running at an annualized pace approaching $50 billion, not the roughly $70 billion that had been widely reported, according to a Financial Times report published on October 8, 2026. The FT says that is the figure OpenAI gave investors for the end of September, and OpenAI declined to comment to the paper. The gap is about $20 billion, and it appears to come from how the revenue was counted, not from sales that vanished. AI stocks fell the same day. Here is why one company can be "$70 billion" and "$50 billion" at once, what moved in the market, and what it means for an OpenAI IPO.

Key takeaways

  • The $50 billion figure is reported, not published. The FT says OpenAI told investors its annualized revenue was approaching $50 billion at the end of September. Not confirmed by OpenAI as of Oct 9, 2026: it declined to comment to the FT.
  • The gap is mostly about counting. A source told SiliconANGLE the earlier, higher figure included gross revenue from OpenAI's partners, while the $50 billion figure is net revenue.
  • AI stocks dropped on October 8. By SiliconANGLE's count, the Nasdaq fell 1.25%, Oracle 5.5%, CoreWeave 8% and Nvidia 2.9%.
  • The IPO is now expected in early 2027, per TechCrunch. Sam Altman has ruled out 2026, and OpenAI hasn't named a date.

How the new OpenAI revenue figure compares

The FT reported that OpenAI told investors its annualized revenue was "approaching $50 billion" at the end of September, as TechCrunch summarized it. An OpenAI annualized revenue figure, or run rate, takes recent revenue and multiplies it out to a full year. It shows the pace of the business, not money already banked, and it says nothing about costs.

The comparison point is only nine days old. On September 29, Axios reported that OpenAI's annual recurring revenue was nearing $70 billion, up more than 70% since the start of the third quarter. SiliconANGLE and others describe the earlier number as about $68 billion. Both figures come from people familiar with OpenAI's finances. OpenAI published neither.

The growth story didn't disappear with the lower total. SiliconANGLE reports that OpenAI also cited 77% growth in its run rate during the third quarter and 107% growth in its enterprise run rate, close to what Axios reported nine days earlier.

Gross vs net revenue, explained simply

The two numbers can both be "true" because they measure different things. When a customer buys access to OpenAI's models through a cloud partner, the partner collects the payment and keeps a share before passing the rest on.

  • Gross revenue counts the whole amount the customer paid.
  • Net revenue counts only what reaches OpenAI after the partner's cut.

A made-up example, since the real splits aren't public: if a business pays a partner $100 and $70 of it reaches OpenAI, gross revenue says $100 and net says $70. Do that across billions of dollars of sales and you get a gap like this one.

Why use the bigger number at all? To compare OpenAI with Anthropic. TechCrunch notes that Anthropic counts sales made by its cloud partners in its annualized revenue, and OpenAI does not. According to TechCrunch's account of the FT story, the higher OpenAI figure came from attempts by OpenAI's own investors to make a direct comparison. For scale, Anthropic told investors its run rate hit $65 billion at the end of July, CNBC reported.

That means the honest reading is narrow: OpenAI didn't lose $20 billion in sales in nine days. The $70 billion figure was an adjusted number, and the $50 billion one is closer to what OpenAI itself keeps.

Why AI stocks fell on October 8

The cylindrical Nasdaq MarketSite tower in Times Square, New York, with an orange digital billboard and the Nasdaq logo above the street
The Nasdaq MarketSite in Times Square. Photo: ajay_suresh / Wikimedia Commons, CC BY 2.0

Markets opened lower and the declines picked up after the FT report, according to SiliconANGLE's market report. These are its numbers for October 8:

Stock or indexMove
NasdaqDown 1.25%, its worst day since mid-August
S&P 500Down 0.5%
OracleDown 5.5%
CoreWeaveDown 8%
NvidiaDown 2.9%
IntelDown 5.3%
AMD and BroadcomDown 4% each

The companies hit hardest sell AI computing capacity and chips, and their outlooks lean on big spenders like OpenAI. Our reading, not a stated cause: a lower revenue base makes it harder to see how OpenAI pays for the computing it has committed to buy, so investors marked down the suppliers too. Other things weighed on stocks that day as well: Benzinga points to rising oil prices and Treasury yields, so not every point of the drop belongs to this report.

What it means for the OpenAI IPO

TechCrunch reports that OpenAI's IPO, once rumored for 2026, has been pushed to early 2027. Altman told Fortune on September 12 that "right now would be an ill-advised moment to go public," and ruled out 2026 without naming another year.

The revenue question matters for that listing. OpenAI is reportedly seeking at least $30 billion at about $1.4 trillion in its next funding round. By our arithmetic, that's about 28 times a $50 billion run rate, versus 20 times $70 billion. A prospectus would bring audited numbers and one definition of revenue, which is the first time figures like these could be checked. Rival Anthropic is further along: a draft of its IPO prospectus has already leaked. Nothing here is investment advice.

Bottom line

OpenAI revenue is reportedly approaching a $50 billion annual pace, about $20 billion below the figure that circulated in late September, and the difference appears to be net versus gross counting rather than lost customers. Not confirmed by OpenAI as of Oct 9, 2026. The report still knocked AI stocks on October 8. Watch for OpenAI's own numbers, the outcome of the reported funding round and, eventually, a prospectus that settles which revenue figure is real.

FAQ

What is OpenAI's annualized revenue?

The latest report, from the FT on October 8, 2026, says OpenAI told investors it was approaching $50 billion at the end of September. Earlier reports put it near $70 billion. OpenAI hasn't published either figure.

Did OpenAI's revenue drop by $20 billion?

Not according to the reporting so far. A source told SiliconANGLE the higher figure included gross revenue from OpenAI's partners, while the $50 billion figure is net. It's a different way of counting the same business, not a fall in sales.

When is the OpenAI IPO?

There's no official date. TechCrunch reports it is now expected in early 2027, and Altman has ruled out 2026.

Filed under AI

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